U.S. Experiencing “Stimulus Hangover, Not a Recession”

Financial Partners Credit Union hosted its 6th Annual Economic Forum on Thursday, September 29, 2022. Keynoted by renowned economist Dr. Christopher Thornberg, founder of Beacon Economics, the discussion focused on post-Covid new world order and what impact it has on the local economy.

The primary takeaway for the audience, comprised of local business and government leaders who participated both in person and via Zoom, was, “Are we heading into a recession?” Thornberg asked. “Not a chance.”

“This is a weird economy. However what the country is experiencing right now is a stimulus hangover, not a recession,” Thornberg said. “A recession is a period when the economy has excess capacity. Factories can produce goods, but no one can buy them. People want jobs and can’t find them. Unemployment is high. That’s not what’s happening in our world today.”

If not a recession, what can Americans expect? “The real problem is that we’ve replaced private sector debt with public sector debt,” Thornberg concluded. “In the next few years, there will be an enormous fiscal challenge caused by a debt-fueled spending binge.”

“This year’s Economic Forum once again ignited conversation about the state of the economy and how its impact is felt among the people and businesses in our communities,” noted Nader Moghaddam, President and CEO of Financial Partners. “While highlighting the good news that the much discussed recession is unlikely, Christopher shed light on what we should be focused on to thrive during these tumultuous times.”

Dr. Thornberg’s complete presentation can be viewed on YouTube. Media can request a copy of Dr. Thornberg’s full presentation, Deflating Bubble or Stimulus Hangover? here.